ARC research programme · development in progress

REVALUE-AU

Revaluing Work and Evaluating Labour-market Adjustment in Australia

When the law re-prices work, what does the labour market do? REVALUE-AU will study what happens after tribunals recognise that care and community work has been undervalued — from wages and hours to retention, mobility, employers, funders and service delivery.

Led by Sergey Alexeev, in collaboration with Robert Breunig and Nathan Deutscher. An ARC Discovery proposal is in development.

Get in touch ↗ One-pager ↗ Project spine ↗ Pilot evidence ↓

The programme is in development. The one-pager introduces the project in a page; the project spine sets out the full programme, its work packages and its data strategy. Prospective data, partner pathways and the final grant scheme remain subject to design, access and approvals.

2005–2025twenty years of tribunal revaluation
10matters and leads documented so far
24HILDA waves available, 2001–2024
5sectors: community, disability, childcare, dental, aged care

A tribunal can re-set the value of work. It cannot dictate what follows.

Australian wage-setting decisions have recognised that feminised care and community work was historically undervalued. The legal record is detailed. The labour-market record — what changed for workers, employers, funders and services afterwards — is much harder to see.

The central gap: a wage order is a legal event. Its consequences are an economic and institutional sequence.

Common surveys can show wages, hours and employment, but they do not directly observe award coverage, classifications, pay points, over-award margins, funding exposure or whether an employer absorbed, passed on or resisted a new wage floor. REVALUE-AU makes those connections explicit.

An evidence platform, not a catalogue of wage cases.

Each institutional intervention is treated as a traceable sequence: what was decided, who was exposed, when the change became operative, and which outcomes could plausibly move next.

01 · Legal event

Build a verified record of decisions, coverage, quantum, staging, operative dates and the mechanism of change.

02 · Implemented treatment

Translate legal language into transparent exposure measures for workers, occupations, sectors, employers and funders.

03 · Realised adjustment

Track wages, hours, employment, retention, mobility and the organisational responses around a re-priced job.

04 · Service consequences

Ask whether changes in labour costs and workforce stability alter capacity, quality, access and the distribution of care.

Every matter enters the programme with an assigned role, and enters the empirical core only once its implementing instrument, operative date and classification schedule are verified.

2005–2009State validation cases
Queensland pay-equity matters in dental assisting, children's services, community services and disability support: the pre-federal lineage, and the basis for state-based comparison designs.
2012–2020Principal anchor
The national Social, Community and Disability Services Equal Remuneration Order, delivered in annual instalments to 2020: the best-documented historical event, and the case the pilot tests.
2018–2021Method benchmarks
Pharmacy and teachers work-value decisions, where the reasoning on properly fixed minimum rates and benchmark classifications was developed. Institutional comparators, not yet coded empirical shocks.
2022–2024Contemporary anchor
Aged care work value, including an interim increase for specified direct-care classifications: institutionally central, politically live, and the strongest case for higher-frequency data.
2024–2025Live implementation
The priority-awards review, reaching dental assistants and related feminised classifications. Revaluation as it happens, with final determinations and operative arrangements still to be established.

The pilot changes the question from “did wages rise?” to “what can these data establish?”

The initial HILDA-based study uses the SACS sequence to test the measurement and design problem before the broader platform is built. It is deliberately cautious: the pilot is a feasibility and evidence-mapping exercise, not a claim that one observational estimate settles the causal question.

≈ 9%

The smallest average wage change the pilot design can reliably detect: about 0.09 log points. Many plausible partial pass-through scenarios sit below that threshold, so a household panel can be consistent with a real wage effect and with none. The pooled estimate itself is small and imprecise, and is reported with its confidence interval in the paper. That is the case for making exposure measurement, rather than estimation alone, the centre of the programme.

Start with what is available. Design towards what would sharpen the evidence.

REVALUE-AU is designed as a staged data strategy. It can begin with transparent public and survey evidence, while building the relationships and specifications needed for stronger administrative and sector-level analyses.

HILDA

Worker-level wages, hours, employment and transitions for the pilot and design diagnostics.

Legal-economic platform

Structured decisions, occupations, awards, implementation dates, quantum and institutional mechanisms.

PLIDA and LFS

Prospective pathways to improve worker, employer and labour-market exposure measurement.

STP and sector data

Potentially sharper evidence on payroll adjustment, workforce stability, funding and service delivery.

A programme that leaves assets behind, not only papers.

In substance this is a programme about organisations and markets: how employers absorb a mandated re-pricing of their core workforce through wage structures, hours, staffing, retention, fees and publicly funded budgets, in sectors at the centre of Australia's care economy. It sits across labour economics, employment relations, human resource management and public policy.

A reusable national dataset

The legal-economic event platform outlives any single paper and can support work by others in the school.

Higher-degree research topics

Well-defined, data-backed thesis projects across wage-setting, care sectors, employer adjustment and measurement.

Policy visibility

Standing engagement with tribunals, employer and sector bodies, unions and government on questions they are actively arguing.

A funding pathway

An ARC Discovery proposal in development, designed so that later partnership-based funding does not require rebuilding the foundations.

Better evidence on what wage correction does once it enters the workplace.

Partners can help identify the implementation details that broad surveys miss — and help shape outputs that are useful to people making decisions about work, funding and care.

Policy and legal institutions

Help interpret decisions, timing, coverage and the practical meaning of a revaluation event.

Employers and sector bodies

Clarify implementation, workforce responses, recruitment constraints and service pressures.

Funders and commissioners

Connect wage correction to funding design, pass-through, capacity and quality.

Data and research partners

Build the linked evidence needed to distinguish legal recognition from realised adjustment.

What happens after work is revalued?

Read the one-page introduction or the fuller project spine, or get in touch if your organisation can help make the legal, economic and service-delivery sequence visible.